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ES_F Levels to watch this week-

Weekly price range assessment -2214.5 support ; 2279.5 resistance 

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CONSIDERATIONS FOR DEC 22, 2016

ES_F– Quiet price action and light volume continues to keep the market range bound into the Christmas weekend. Test of support near 2259 I anticipated yesterday is here and we have moved back and forth around the region, but not holding the space with any conviction. Momentum suggests the bounce off support levels into the range of trading we have seen over the last week.

The lines in the sand for buyers to hold will be 2255-2259. Charts will be weighted to the buyers as long if we recapture and hold 2260.5 test. Resistance remains 2267-2269, but could breach to test 2272.50, if we see buyers catch their footing (doubtful, but worth consideration at least)

Here’s the economic calendar for a rundown of today’s releases

RANGE OF TODAY’S MOTION

***E-mini S&P Futures***

***Upside trades – Two options for entry–

Positive retest of continuation level -2260.5 (careful here – a retest is required)

Positive retest of support level– 2259

Opening targets ranges for non-members -2263.5, 2267.5, 2269.25, 2271.25, 2272.75, 2275.50, 2278.25 and 2282.50

***Downside trades – Two options for entry–

Failed retest of resistance level -2260 (needs retest confirmation)

Failed retest of support level– 2255.25 (also needs confirmation due to price forms)

Opening target ranges for non-members –2257, 2255.75, 2251.5, 2249.50, 2246.50, 2242.75, 2238.75, 2234.75, 2231.50, 2227.75, 2224.25, and 2224.25

***Nasdaq Futures***

The NQ_F range has tightened but our support level near 4936 holds steady at this time. The tight box of trading has 4936 as support and 4966 as resistance. Breaches or price action that hold in either direction is a bit unlikely, but buyers are still in control of support levels. Secondary support is 4944. Resistance now holds near 4957 to 4966.

***Upside trades – Two options

Positive retest of continuation level -4952.50 (needs confirmation)

Positive retest of support level– 4937.50 (also needs confirmation)

Opening target ranges for non-members –4944.25, 4947, 4952.25, 4957.75, 4965.50, 4972.25, 4979.75, and 4988.75

***Downside trades- Two options

Failed retest of resistance level -4952 (careful here – negative divergence needs to be present)

Failed retest of support level– 4936

Opening target ranges for non-members –4947.5, 4944.75, 4937.25, 4931.50, 4925.75, 4920.75, 4914.25, 4907.50, 4902.75, 4898.75, 4883.75, 4876.25, 4872.25, 4863.75, 4859.75, 4854.75, and 4847.50

 

***Oil –WTI Crude***

WTI crude faded after the EIA reported a mixed bag yesterday. The region near 53.56-53.64 is resistance, shifted lower from yesterday. Trending formations have not strengthened and we are testing lower support that I mentioned yesterday at 52.22. Below 52.22, we see 51.59 and then 50.87. Bullish formations are fading in the chart for now, but we hold in a range overall – between 50.65 and 53.65.

***Upside trades – Two options

Positive retest of continuation level -52.65

Positive retest of support level– 52.12

Opening target ranges for non-members –52.3, 52.54, 52.87, 53.23, 53.41, 53.6, 53.86, 54.04, 54.21, 54.5, 54.97, and 55.4

***Downside trades- Two options

Failed retest of resistance level -52.6

Failed retest of support level– 51.92 –

Opening target ranges for non-members –52.32, 52.09, 51.85, 51.57, 51.32, 51.08, 50.27, 50.13, 49.87, 49.6, 49.27, 49.05, and 48.92

Further details and additional targets are in the Members Only portion of the blog.

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You will always be making the best choice for lowered risk by waiting for the retest with momentum confirmation.

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DROPBOX LINK – This spreadsheet is being updated – please download a local copy to your machine each day and replace the copy from the day before

As long as your levels hold in Platinum entries, holding overnight is perfectly acceptable, turning the intraday swing event, a short term swing – and thereby increasing profit opportunities.

Ultimately, momentum should agree across two times frames at least.

Please note that most entries long will require a pullback into support, and most entries short will require a press up into resistance.

Only when the squeeze is present with momentum indicators in agreement will we take the breakout levels.

Futures and Stocks Risk Disclosure Statement

Options Risk Disclosure